Nepal's Faltering Peace Process

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND RECOMMENDATIONS

I. INTRODUCTION

II. CONSENSUS OR CONFLICT?
A. WHAT’S LEFT OF THE PEACE PROCESS?
B. THE MAOIST-LED GOVERNMENT:  IN OFFICE BUT NOT IN POWER?
C. OLD NEPAL: ALIVE AND WELL
D. THE RISKS OF FAILURE

III. PEACE PARTNERS AT ODDS
A. THE MAOISTS: BRINGING ON THE REVOLUTION?
B. UNCERTAIN COALITION PARTNERS
C. THE OPPOSITION: REINVIGORATED, BUT FOR WHAT?
1. The Nepali Congress
2. The smaller parties
3. A “broader democratic alliance”?

IV. THE TWO ARMIES

A. THE INTEGRATION IMPASSE
1. What the agreements say
2. The Nepalese Army position
3. The PLA position
4. Other parties

B. NEW NEPAL, NEW ARMY?
1. Affordability
2. Democratic control
3. Accountability
4. Impunity

V. THE IMMEDIATE PRIORITIES

A. REBUILDING THE PEACE PROCESS
1. Consensus and confidence
2. A fresh start?
3. Mechanisms and monitoring

B. GETTING A GRIP ON GOVERNANCE

1. Policy priorities
2. Public security
3. Guiding international assistance

C. CONSTITUTION-WRITING

D. JUSTICE

VI. CONCLUSION

APPENDICES

A. MAP OF NEPAL                                                                                             B. GLOSSARY OF ACRONYMS
C. ABOUT THE INTERNATIONAL CRISIS GROUP
D. CRISIS GROUP REPORTS AND BRIEFINGS ON ASIA SINCE 2006
E. CRISIS GROUP BOARD OF TRUSTEES